Professor Noted For Correctly Predicting Last 8 Presidential Elections Says THIS Candidate Will Win (VIDEO)

Professor Allan Lichtman has been correctly predicting every presidential election since 1984. In order to do so, he uses a system of true/false statements he calls the 13 Keys to the White House, to determine who will be the winner.

The keys are simple true/false questions, and an answer of “true” will favor the reelection of the party holding the White House, of which the keys are judging. If six or more of the 13 keys are “false,” meaning they’ll go against the party in power, the party will lose. But if fewer than six are false, the party in power will stay in the White House for four more years.

Lichtman mentions the difficulties of predicting a winner this year, due to controversies around both Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton, and in particular, Republican candidate Donald Trump:

“One of my keys is whether or not the candidate of the White House party is, like Obama was in 2008, charismatic. Hillary Clinton doesn’t fit the bill.”

Next, Lichtman addresses the extraordinary circumstances surrounding Republican newcomer Trump:

“Donald Trump has made this the most difficult election to assess since 1984. We have never before seen a candidate like Donald Trump, and Donald Trump may well break patterns of history that have held since 1860.”

Lichtman points out some of the many controversies around Trump:

“We’ve never before seen a candidate who’s spent his life enriching himself at the expense of others. He’s the first candidate in our history to be a serial fabricator, making up things as he goes along.”

“We’ve never had a candidate before who not just once, but twice in a thinly disguised way, has incited violence against an opponent. We’ve never had a candidate before who’s invited a hostile foreign power to meddle in American elections. We’ve never had a candidate before who’s threatened to start a war by blowing ships out of the water in the Persian Gulf if they come too close to us. We’ve never had a candidate before who has embraced as a role model a murderous, hostile foreign dictator. Given all of these exceptions that Donald Trump represents, he may well shatter patterns of history that have held for more than 150 years, lose this election even if the historical circumstances favor it.”

Considering all this, Clinton must win the election for sure? Well, let’s see what Lichtman’s key system predicts, after true/false responses to the 13 Keys to the White House.

Professor Who Correctly Predicted Last 8 Presidential Elections Says THIS Candidate Will Win
Image of the 13 Keys to the White House screengrab from YouTube video.

Lichtman summarizes the true/false statements as it affects the Democrats:

“Remember, six keys and you’re out, and right now the Democrats are out — for sure — five keys. Key 1 is the party mandate — how well they did in the midterms. They got crushed. Key number 3 is, the sitting president is not running.
Key number 7, no major policy change in Obama’s second term like the Affordable Care Act. Key number 11, no major smashing foreign policy success. And Key number 12, Hillary Clinton is not a Franklin Roosevelt.”

That’s five keys, and the Democrats will need six or more false keys to lose, but then Lichtman brings up what he calls the Gary Johnson key:

“One of my keys would be that the party in power gets a “false” if a third-party candidate is anticipated to get 5 percent of the vote or more. In his highest polling, Gary Johnson is at about 12 to 14 percent. My rule is that you cut it in half. That would mean that he gets six to seven, and that would be the sixth and final key against the Democrats.”

This means that Lichtman’s keys predict a Trump presidency.

Fortunately, the extraordinarity of this year’s election also gives room for some doubt of the key’s predictability:

“I believe that given the unprecedented nature of the Trump candidacy and Trump himself, he could defy all odds and lose even though the verdict of history is in his favor. So this would also suggest, you know, the possibility this election could go either way.”

In the end, Lichtman offers a hands-on solution, as the only way we may change the direction of the course of our future:

“Nobody should be complacent, no matter who you’re for, you gotta get out and vote.”

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mmIJROUsyOM

Featured image screengrab from YouTube video.